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Regular version of the site

Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis

Publications
Book
Terrorism and Political Contention. New Perspectives on North Africa and the Sahel Region

Atanasiu M., Besenyő J., Denisova T. S. et al.

Springer, 2024.

Article
Is the Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies Still Coming?

Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A.

Critical Sociology. 2024. P. 1-29.

Book chapter
Revolutionary and Quasi-Revolutionary Events in Somalia (1960–2023)

Korotayev A., Elena Voronina.

In bk.: Terrorism and Political Contention. New Perspectives on North Africa and the Sahel Region. Springer, 2024. P. 349-400.

Working paper
Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?

Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A.

social sciences & humanities. SAGE advance, 2022

About the Centre

The main activity of the Centre is systemic monitoring and analysis of dynamics of socio-political transformation of specific countries and regions, forecasting their social and political development and consecutive development of recommendations on overcoming and avoiding socio-political instability. 


Illustration for news: The book 'Terrorism and Political Contention. New Perspectives on North Africa and the Sahel Region' has been published by Springer

The book 'Terrorism and Political Contention. New Perspectives on North Africa and the Sahel Region' has been published by Springer

The director and deputy director of CSRA Andrey V. Korotaev and Leonid M. Issaev, as well as Janos Besenyo from the University of Obuda (Hungary). The work clearly shows the organizational forms of terrorism in the MENA region and the Sahel. The authors reveal the motives and influence of big powers and external actors on the situation in this part of the globe.

The CSRA has received two grants of the Russian Science Foundation!

The Russian Science Foundation announced the results of the competition, in which teams from the National Research University Higher School of Economics participated. In the field of humanities and social sciences, 8 applications were approved, 2 of which were submitted by the CSRA.

Illustration for news: ‘We Have Promising Opportunities with Africa, and It Is Important to Foster Cooperation’

‘We Have Promising Opportunities with Africa, and It Is Important to Foster Cooperation’

A Strategic Session focusing on cooperation between Russia and African countries in the sphere of higher education was held at HSE University's building on Pokrovsky Bulvar. The event was attended by representatives of HSE University, rectors of other Russian universities, and ambassadors and ministers of higher education from several African states.

Illustration for news: Researchers from the CSRA spoke at an international conference in Tanzania

Researchers from the CSRA spoke at an international conference in Tanzania

On March 1-3, the scholars of the Center for the Study of Stability and Risks Analysis (CSRA) and Saint-Petersburg School of Social Sciences HSE University took part in the international academic conference "The Place of Africa in the World: The Past and the Present" which was held in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, at the Russian Center for Science and Culture. This conference was devoted to a wide range of research topics and brought together experts from various fields. Beside scholars from Russia and Tanzania, researchers from India, South Africa, Ghana, Nigeria and Holland presented their papers. The conference drew great attention of the Tanzanian academic community.

Illustration for news: CSRA congratulates on the new year-2023!

CSRA congratulates on the new year-2023!

We wish everyone stability and accurate calculation of risks!

Yevgeny Ivanov spoke at the Social Science Alliance conference organised by the FSN of the National Research University Higher School of Economics.

A researcher from the CSRA presented his paper "Army and Politics in the Central Asian States in the Post-Soviet Period". The collapse of the USSR led to the fact that the Central Asian states, as well as other newly formed republics, faced the need to build and modernise their own armed forces to replace the all-Soviet army. In the course of his presentation, Yevgeny Ivanov emphasised that strengthening milirary capacities is an integral part of state building for any polity that claims full sovereignty. Despite the economic difficulties of the transition period, all Central Asian states are were endeavouring to develop their armed forces. Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and, according to some reports, Turkmenistan, have increased their defence spending in the 2010s, upgrading their own material and technical base. At the same time, the increased focus on the defence sector is not currently affecting political processes.

Illustration for news: Leonid Issaev, the Deputy Director of the CSRA, took part in discussion about the current situation in Gaza

Leonid Issaev, the Deputy Director of the CSRA, took part in discussion about the current situation in Gaza

Illustration for news: A delegation consisting of Issaev Leonid, Vice Director of the Center for Stability and Risk Analysis , and Prof. Andrei Zakharov of HSE University of Russia visited the Policy Studies Institute (PSI) on October 10, 2023.

A delegation consisting of Issaev Leonid, Vice Director of the Center for Stability and Risk Analysis , and Prof. Andrei Zakharov of HSE University of Russia visited the Policy Studies Institute (PSI) on October 10, 2023.

Illustration for news: CISR director gave an interview to OTR TV-channel about Russian-African relations

CISR director gave an interview to OTR TV-channel about Russian-African relations

Flags of the Russian Federation in raging Africa. We are discussing political crises in the continent and prospects for Russia-Africa partnership. The Ministry of Economic Development says Russia is considering the possibility of building a logistics hub in East Africa. What projects will it help boost? And how Russian citizens can benefit from it ?Director of the Center Andrey Korotaev shared his opinion on these issues

Andrey Korotayev's presentation at the conference of the International Big History Association (IBHA)

The CSRA director's report is entitled "Patterns of complexity growth in the Big History. A preliminary quantitative analysis". In his presentation, Andrey Korotayev talks about recent findings, namely about two patterns of how Big History is getting more complex. The first pattern is a slowdown in cosmic evolutionary development that had being taking place several billion years after the Big Bang. The second is the acceleration of biosocial development, which began on Earth about 4 billion years ago.